News

NCSG researchers published in JAPA Vol. 86, No. 4

Uri Avin published this article Using Exploratory Scenarios in Planning Practice: A Spectrum of Approaches with Robert Goodspeed, an alumnus of UMD.

Despite growing interest by practitioners in using exploratory scenarios within urban planning practice, there are few detailed guidelines for how to do this. Through the discussion of five case examples, we illustrate different approaches to linking exploratory scenarios to different planning contexts. We conclude by observing that to directly inform a plan, regardless of the specific approach taken, exploratory scenarios in urban planning must incorporate stakeholder values and not only rely on expert judgment and analysis.

Exploratory scenarios are effective for analyzing uncertainty within a planning process. However, exploratory scenarios can be incorporated into planning practice in different ways, ranging from workshops among experts that aim to cultivate general learning to complex projects that result in highly detailed scenarios and recommendations for plans. Practitioners can draw on the cases we present to inspire planning methods for particular projects, taking into account specific contexts and goals.

 

In the same issue, URPD and NCSG alum Li (Kerry) Fang published this article Tracking Our Footsteps: Thirty Years of Publication in JAPA, JPER, and JPL with Reid Ewing, formerly of NCSG.

We conduct a systematic reading of all articles published in the past 30 years in three U.S.-based general planning journals, Journal of the American Planning Association (JAPA), Journal of Planning Education and Research (JPER), and Journal of Planning Literature (JPL), using latent Dirichlet allocation, a text mining technique. We find that certain research themes remain important in the past 3 decades, such as planning process, planning methods, and land use/growth management, whereas others have lost their prominent status, such as planning theory and planning education. New fields such as food systems have emerged during the study period. Editorial regimes appear to be associated with theme dynamics.

In this study we demonstrate a text mining method to effectively summarize a large amount of text data and track planning researchers’ footsteps in the study of planning issues reflected from published research articles. We identify past and emerging research trends in the studied journals that can help scholars situate their work in the literature and practitioners find collaboration opportunities. It also helps professional associations such as the American Collegiate Schools of Planning (ACSP) and the APA open up new conference tracks and/or specialization groups/divisions so they can reflect the ever-changing interests of their memberships in a timely manner.

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Making Public Transit Work for All

A $2.35 million National Science Foundation grant is funding a study based in Baltimore to provide better public transit options to low-income neighborhood residents, who frequently face long commutes with multiple transfers. (Photo by iStock)

 

Public transit is sometimes touted as an urban planning cure-all, but too often, the outcomes look different depending on income. Affluent city dwellers may find it convenient to board a Metro train or a bus steps from home and alight near their workplaces, but working-class or low-income transit users are more likely to face multiple transfers, long waits and complex routes.

Now, a multidisciplinary team of University of Maryland researchers is partnering with public officials, transit advocacy groups and other universities on a Baltimore-based project designed to make transit planning work for all, particularly those in low-income neighborhoods that rely on bus and light-rail systems.

“This project gives a voice to those who are often not heard in the decision-making process,” said Sevgi Erdogan, an assistant research professor in UMD’s School of Architecture, Planning and Preservation and a co-principal investigator on the project. “Traditional transportation models don’t take into account multi-modal experiences, which are commonplace in marginalized and low-income communities, so they cannot identify the sort of mobility obstacles facing individuals.”

 

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‘How to Use Exploratory Scenario Planning’ teaches would-be practitioners how to apply this emergent approach to local, regional, and organizational plans for the future

In this era of great uncertainty—whether due to climate change, COVID-19, or changes to urban development, technology, and the global economy—urban planners and government officials face new challenges. The new Lincoln Institute guidebook How to Use Exploratory Scenario Planning (XSP): Navigating an Uncertain Future, by Jeremy Stapleton, provides a roadmap for making decisions or plans in the face of critical unknowns and unclear futures.

The manual walks would-be practitioners through designing and managing their own XSP processes, with in-depth case studies examining its applications in contexts as diverse as water management in Colorado’s Front Range region to transportation trends in the Atlanta metropolitan area. Other cases include the University of Arizona’s Water Resources Research Center’s 2014 exercise to help preserve rural agricultural lifestyles in the Upper Gila Watershed; the 2017 Denveright project; and the National Center for Smart Growth’s 2018 work to explore how the Baltimore–Washington region can achieve a more sustainable future. 

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